Disinflation

Plain definition

Disinflation is a slowdown in the rate of inflation — prices are still rising, just more slowly than before. Moving from 8% annual inflation to 3% is disinflation; prices did not fall at any point.

In economics

Disinflation is usually the deliberate goal of anti-inflation policy: central banks raise interest rates to cool price growth without tipping the economy into deflation. The early-1980s Volcker disinflation in the U.S. — inflation fell from double digits to around 3% — is the textbook success, though it required a painful recession. Economists distinguish it from deflation because the policy risks are completely different.

Example

In 2022-2023, U.S. inflation fell from over 9% to around 3% as the Federal Reserve raised rates. Consumers still faced rising prices throughout — a grocery bill that climbed fast in 2022 kept climbing, just more slowly in 2023. That slowdown, not any price drop, is disinflation.

Common confusion

Disinflation is constantly confused with deflation. Disinflation: inflation rate falls but stays positive — prices still rise. Deflation: the price level itself falls — negative inflation. Headlines saying 'inflation is down' describe disinflation, not cheaper goods; the price level remains higher than before.